Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 3.454179 3.837445 4.253208 4.738963 5.292464 5.905298 6.637634
2025-05-18 2.916383 3.431686 4.030586 4.782787 5.708854 6.820182 8.267545
2025-05-25 2.492726 3.054275 3.739708 4.646979 5.829882 7.338721 9.439627
2025-06-01 2.220422 2.809787 3.558058 4.591831 6.005295 7.903453 10.703000
2025-06-08 2.019326 2.625656 3.421584 4.562377 6.188070 8.472811 12.021495
2025-06-15 1.921100 2.562471 3.431361 4.721276 6.634593 9.446281 14.044862
2025-06-22 1.782530 2.428386 3.326614 4.700087 6.807951 10.026953 15.535037
2025-06-29 1.655804 2.298405 3.213252 4.649822 6.923811 10.521343 16.941729
2025-07-06 1.494729 2.105629 2.991556 4.412461 6.718219 10.471938 17.406417
2025-07-13 1.420055 2.033790 2.942529 4.435419 6.927773 11.121542 19.187749
2025-07-20 1.368310 1.991825 2.934204 4.519782 7.243431 11.982529 21.483152
2025-07-27 1.324061 1.957565 2.934065 4.615360 7.584686 12.924245 24.079542
2025-08-03 1.270700 1.906947 2.906489 4.666488 7.860583 13.794847 26.716848
2025-08-10 1.217902 1.853648 2.870529 4.699747 8.107442 14.642208 29.463036
2025-08-17 1.137907 1.751031 2.745628 4.565118 8.025708 14.832043 30.785520
2025-08-24 1.079715 1.680525 2.669512 4.510851 8.090245 15.321803 32.880897
2025-08-31 1.030765 1.622363 2.610302 4.481969 8.200195 15.917358 35.338775
2025-09-07 1.015939 1.620765 2.648565 4.637509 8.695554 17.404039 40.328109
2025-09-14 0.974210 1.570351 2.597066 4.616766 8.824058 18.092823 43.380213
2025-09-21 0.931231 1.515329 2.533730 4.567563 8.886599 18.637392 46.152876
2025-09-28 0.864735 1.415570 2.383488 4.335183 8.531135 18.154551 45.912216
2025-10-05 0.838502 1.386152 2.360861 4.357662 8.739042 19.055290 49.928744
2025-10-12 0.821898 1.373062 2.367608 4.440258 9.090071 20.358417 55.489558